Zaglebie Lubin II 2-0 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 25% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.88/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.91
+24% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
290 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Kalisz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
25.11.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
30.07.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
30.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 5-2 HT 4-2 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin II
2-0
AWAY Kalisz
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin II vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin II saw off Kalisz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zaglebie Lubin II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin II had 61% of the ball to Kalisz's 39%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaglebie Lubin II and 2.50 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin II vs Kalisz?

Zaglebie Lubin II 2-0 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin II vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin II 49%, draw 24%, Kalisz 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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