Kalisz 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.57/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.10
-2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
30.07.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
30.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 5-2 HT 4-2 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
2-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Lubin II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kalisz as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kalisz had 40% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 60%, shots finished 14-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Kalisz and 1.00 for Zaglebie Lubin II.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Kalisz 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 44%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin II 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalisz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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