Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2-1 HT 1-0
Olimpia Grudziadz
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Grudziadz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.71 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki v Olimpia Grudziadz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.61
-37% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki edged past Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 49%, draw 21%, Olimpia Grudziadz 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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