SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 Wisla Pulawy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 32% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.6pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.72
-23% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-3 HT 0-2 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
27.04.2024 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
20.10.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 0-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
13.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 4-1 HT 3-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
04.03.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
06.08.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-0 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2-1
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Wisla Pulawy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKRA Czestochowa nicked a narrow win over Wisla Pulawy 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; SKRA Czestochowa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SKRA Czestochowa had 39% of the ball to Wisla Pulawy's 61%, shots finished 17-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Pulawy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 1.00 for Wisla Pulawy.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Wisla Pulawy?

SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 Wisla Pulawy in the Poland - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Wisla Pulawy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Pulawy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 33%, draw 27%, Wisla Pulawy 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Pulawy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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