Wisla Pulawy 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.76
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.24
6+ Goals
12%
20.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.24 — our 25% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -21%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.89
-2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Pulawy
1W-3D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 0-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
13.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 4-1 HT 3-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
04.03.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
06.08.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-0 HT 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
09.04.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-1 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
26.09.2021 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-2 HT 2-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Pulawy
1-0
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wisla Pulawy vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy squeezed past SKRA Czestochowa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wisla Pulawy as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wisla Pulawy had 52% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 48%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wisla Pulawy and 1.33 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Wisla Pulawy vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Wisla Pulawy 1-0 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Pulawy vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Pulawy win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wisla Pulawy 41%, draw 25%, SKRA Czestochowa 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Pulawy) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Pulawy) ✗ BTTS Yes
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