Hutnik Krakow 4-1 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.91
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.87
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Polonia Bytom
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 0-1 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
4-1
AWAY Polonia Bytom
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow cruised past Polonia Bytom 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hutnik Krakow as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 53% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 47%, shots finished 15-15.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Polonia Bytom?

Hutnik Krakow 4-1 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 44%, draw 27%, Polonia Bytom 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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