Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
13%
11.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 26% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II EU Bookmakers 34%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.91/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.94
+25% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-1 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
23.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II 1-2 HT 0-2 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
18.09.2022 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin II Zaglebie Lubin II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jastrzebie Zdroj
1-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin II
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Lubin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jastrzebie Zdroj squeezed past Zaglebie Lubin II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Jastrzebie Zdroj as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jastrzebie Zdroj had 43% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin II's 57%, shots finished 18-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jastrzebie Zdroj had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jastrzebie Zdroj and 1.00 for Zaglebie Lubin II.

What was the final score of Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jastrzebie Zdroj vs Zaglebie Lubin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jastrzebie Zdroj win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jastrzebie Zdroj 47%, draw 22%, Zaglebie Lubin II 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jastrzebie Zdroj) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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