Kalisz 0-1 Olimpia Elblag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Elblag EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.58/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.35
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2023 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-0 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
25.02.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
18.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-0 HT 1-0 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POLK
31.07.2022 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 2-2 HT 1-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
20.11.2021 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
31.07.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 2-2 HT 0-1 Olimpia Elblag Olimpia Elblag POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
0-1
AWAY Olimpia Elblag
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Olimpia Elblag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Elblag edged past Kalisz 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Kalisz at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kalisz had 64% of the ball to Olimpia Elblag's 36%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kalisz and 0.67 for Olimpia Elblag.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Olimpia Elblag?

Kalisz 0-1 Olimpia Elblag in the Poland - 2nd Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Olimpia Elblag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 47%, draw 27%, Olimpia Elblag 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kalisz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ BTTS No
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