Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.26
6+ Goals
12%
11.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.43/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.66
-27% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.7 Crosses 17.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ettifaq
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.86 xG 0.59
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
484 Passes 309
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
06.04.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
22.10.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ettifaq
1-0
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.28 xG 0.55
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 7
462 Passes 213
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq edged past Al Riyadh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Al Ettifaq made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ettifaq had 64% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 36%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.28 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Ettifaq and 0.33 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh?

Al Ettifaq 1-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ettifaq 40%, draw 28%, Al Riyadh 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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