Zira 1-1 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Apr 2026

Zira
1-1 HT 0-0
Neftçi PFK
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Zira vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.0pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zira v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.40/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.80
+35% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.4

Zira vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
The Meetings
23.01.2026 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
02.12.2025 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERK
03.10.2025 Zira Zira 2-2 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
13.04.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-4 HT 2-1 Zira Zira AZERS
10.02.2025 Zira Zira 1-2 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
23.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 2-1 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira and Neftçi PFK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zira and 1.33 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Zira 1-1 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zira 36%, draw 25%, Neftçi PFK 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
17 Apr 2026
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