Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 49%
+12% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.86/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.97
-25% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +18%
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
22.11.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
24.08.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
18.04.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
16.02.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
29.11.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
21.09.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz swept aside Araz Nahçıvan 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.83 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Araz Nahçıvan 0-3 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 23%, draw 30%, Turan Tovuz 47%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
17 Apr 2026
18:30 Zira vs Neftçi PFK Analysis →