Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.9pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
0.92/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.05
-26% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
16.02.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
29.11.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
21.09.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
11.05.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
10.03.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
24.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 3-1 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan and Turan Tovuz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 33% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 1.33 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 35%, draw 33%, Turan Tovuz 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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