Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
0.92/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.90
-19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Araz Nahçıvan
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
24.08.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
18.04.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
16.02.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
29.11.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
21.09.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
11.05.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan and Turan Tovuz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Araz Nahçıvan and 0.83 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 35%, draw 27%, Turan Tovuz 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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22 Nov 2025
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