Zira 1-0 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 22 Nov 2025

Zira
1-0 HT 1-0
Qabala
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.29
No
47%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.6pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
2.07/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/2.22
+10% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Qabala
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
25.08.2025 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 1-2 Zira Zira AZERS
24.04.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
07.04.2024 Zira Zira 4-0 HT 3-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.04.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
04.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 1-1 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
12.11.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira squeezed past Qabala 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zira and 0.50 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Zira vs Qabala?

Zira 1-0 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Zira 67%, draw 20%, Qabala 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
22 Nov 2025
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