Qabala 0-2 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Cup, 24 Apr 2024

Qabala
0-2 HT 0-0
Zira
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+2.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
11 Corners 2
07.04.2024 Zira Zira 4-0 HT 3-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.04.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
04.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 1-1 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
12.11.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
02.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
07.04.2023 Qabala Qabala 2-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira saw off Qabala 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Zira made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Qabala and 1.50 for Zira.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Zira?

Qabala 0-2 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Qabala 28%, draw 33%, Zira 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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