Qabala 1-2 Zira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Aug 2025

Qabala
1-2 HT 1-2
Zira
📅25/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Qabala vs Zira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
31%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
54%
Away Win
54%
+0.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qabala v Zira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qabala EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Zira EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
0.84/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.31
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
231 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Qabala vs Zira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Qabala
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Zira
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
11 Corners 2
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Qabala Qabala 0-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERK
07.04.2024 Zira Zira 4-0 HT 3-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
03.04.2024 Zira Zira 2-1 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERK
04.02.2024 Qabala Qabala 1-1 HT 1-1 Zira Zira AZERS
12.11.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
02.09.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-0 HT 1-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Qabala vs Zira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira edged past Qabala 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zira as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Qabala and 1.67 for Zira.

What was the final score of Qabala vs Zira?

Qabala 1-2 Zira in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qabala vs Zira?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zira win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Qabala 23%, draw 23%, Zira 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →