Turan Tovuz 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.61/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.34
+30% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
18.04.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 0-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
16.02.2025 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
29.11.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
21.09.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-2 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
11.05.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 0-1 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
10.03.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 0-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan edged past Turan Tovuz 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Araz Nahçıvan made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Turan Tovuz and 0.67 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Turan Tovuz 1-2 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 39%, draw 31%, Araz Nahçıvan 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
24 Aug 2025
16:00 Shamakhi vs Sabah Analysis →