Al Riffa 1-0 AAli FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒19:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AAli FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-15% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.72/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.98
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
389 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
4W-1D-0L
AWAY AAli FC
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 AAli FC AAli FC 1-4 HT 0-3 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
26.04.2025 AAli FC AAli FC 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
23.11.2024 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-0 HT 0-0 AAli FC AAli FC BAH
07.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 5-0 HT 2-0 AAli FC AAli FC BAHKK
20.03.2023 AAli FC AAli FC 3-3 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
1-0
AWAY AAli FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa nicked a narrow win over AAli FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Riffa had 60% of the ball to AAli FC's 40%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Al Riffa and 1.20 for AAli FC.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs AAli FC?

Al Riffa 1-0 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs AAli FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 62%, draw 22%, AAli FC 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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