Al Riffa 3-0 AAli FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 31% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
67%
-12.1pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AAli FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-12% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.68/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +88%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AAli FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 5-0 HT 2-0 AAli FC AAli FC BAHKK
20.03.2023 AAli FC AAli FC 3-3 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
3-0
AWAY AAli FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa swept aside AAli FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Riffa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riffa had 60% of the ball to AAli FC's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Al Riffa and 1.50 for AAli FC.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs AAli FC?

Al Riffa 3-0 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs AAli FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 55%, draw 27%, AAli FC 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Riffa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5
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