Ogre United 1-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 17 Apr 2026

Ogre United
1-1 HT 0-0
Auda
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2026

Ogre United vs Auda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
66%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
13%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
66%
Away Win
68%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ogre United v Auda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ogre United EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 71%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.40/2.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.94
-100% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.1
10.0 Crosses 22.6
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Ogre United 1-1 Auda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ogre United
1-1
AWAY Auda
0.93 xG 1.40
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
177 Passes 412
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ogre United vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ogre United and Auda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Auda at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Ogre United had 36% of the ball to Auda's 64%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.93 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Ogre United vs Auda?

Ogre United 1-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 14%, draw 20%, Auda 66%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Auda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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