FK Tukums 2000 2-2 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
51%
Away Win
54%
-2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.07/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.41
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
11.6 Crosses 24.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Liepaja
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.74 xG 2.13
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
245 Passes 406
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 41
12 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 4-1 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
25.06.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-3 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
06.05.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.03.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.09.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
20.06.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-2
AWAY Liepaja
1.66 xG 2.47
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
220 Passes 460
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 44
7 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and Liepaja couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 37% of the ball to Liepaja's 63%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.66 to 2.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.17 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

FK Tukums 2000 2-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 26%, draw 22%, Liepaja 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Liepaja), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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