FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
31%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 48%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.06
+45% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
16.0 Crosses 21.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Liepaja
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
253 Passes 341
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-2 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
28.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.08.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.06.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
18.04.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-1
AWAY Liepaja
1.08 xG 1.65
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 9
242 Passes 339
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 46
12 Crosses 39
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 edged past Liepaja 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; FK Tukums 2000 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 42% of the ball to Liepaja's 58%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.08 to 1.65 — on chances, Liepaja could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.00 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

FK Tukums 2000 2-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 39%, draw 26%, Liepaja 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Tukums 2000), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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