FK Tukums 2000 0-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 50%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.27/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.15
+53% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.9
13.5 Crosses 22.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Liepaja
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.78 xG 1.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
239 Passes 347
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-2 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
28.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
05.08.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 1-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
01.06.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
18.04.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-3 HT 0-2 Liepaja Liepaja LET
30.10.2022 Liepaja Liepaja 4-1 HT 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0-0
AWAY Liepaja
1.22 xG 0.77
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
309 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and Liepaja played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 49% of the ball to Liepaja's 51%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.22 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

FK Tukums 2000 0-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 31%, draw 28%, Liepaja 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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