Riga FC 2-0 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 2 May 2024

📅02/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.68
Over 2.5
61%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.2pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 9%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.77/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.18
+12% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +137%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
47.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
29.6 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Grobina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.94 xG 0.30
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 6
506 Passes 208
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
46 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.03.2024 Grobina Grobina 0-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY Grobina
2.68 xG 0.34
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
516 Passes 200
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
41 Box Touches 6
37 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC beat Grobina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Riga FC had 67% of the ball to Grobina's 33%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.68 to 0.34.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Grobina?

Riga FC 2-0 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 02/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 68%, draw 18%, Grobina 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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