Valmiera / BSS 3-0 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
-15.7pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.1pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+8.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+17.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-17.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 11%
-12% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
2.13/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.03
+1% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
458 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
28.6 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valmiera / BSS
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
373 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
10.03.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-2 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
29.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 4-1 HT 1-1 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
06.08.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 2-1 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
31.05.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
20.04.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valmiera / BSS
3-0
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
3.35 xG 0.76
54% Ball Possession 46%
29 Total Shots 10
15 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
410 Passes 317
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
50 Box Touches 10
33 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valmiera / BSS ran out comfortable winners over Metta / LU Riga 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valmiera / BSS as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 54% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 46%, shots finished 29-10, expected goals 3.35 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 1.17 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU Riga?

Valmiera / BSS 3-0 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 64%, draw 20%, Metta / LU Riga 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valmiera / BSS), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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