FK Tukums 2000 2-2 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.0
Over 2.5
57%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
52%
Away Win
54%
-1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
0.99/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.52
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 83%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
10.1 Crosses 20.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Liepaja
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
265 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.09.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
20.06.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
02.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-2 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
28.10.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2-2
AWAY Liepaja
1.68 xG 2.27
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 28
4 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 8
170 Passes 399
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 60
8 Crosses 38
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and Liepaja shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Liepaja at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 34% of the ball to Liepaja's 66%, shots finished 14-28, expected goals 1.68 to 2.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 0.83 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

FK Tukums 2000 2-2 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 23%, draw 25%, Liepaja 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liepaja) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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