Metta / LU Riga 0-2 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 6 May 2025

📅06/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.9 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Super Nova
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.94 xG 0.99
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
329 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 4-0 HT 1-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
08.10.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 0-1 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
21.07.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-3 HT 0-1 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
23.05.2023 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 4-1 HT 1-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
11.04.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-3 HT 0-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
12.11.2022 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0-2
AWAY Super Nova
0.93 xG 1.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
288 Passes 260
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 26
23 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova beat Metta / LU Riga 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Super Nova as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 54% of the ball to Super Nova's 46%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.93 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.33 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Super Nova?

Metta / LU Riga 0-2 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Super Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 30%, draw 26%, Super Nova 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Super Nova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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