FK Tukums 2000 1-3 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.5pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-10.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 66%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.12/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.51
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -33%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
224 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 83%
14.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
9.7 Crosses 26.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Liepaja
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.57
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
244 Passes 387
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-2 HT 2-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
12.03.2025 Liepaja Liepaja 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.09.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
20.06.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 2-1 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
02.05.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
09.03.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-2 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-3
AWAY Liepaja
0.12 xG 2.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 8
286 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 47
17 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja saw off FK Tukums 2000 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 44% of the ball to Liepaja's 56%, shots finished 4-22, expected goals 0.12 to 2.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Tukums 2000 had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.00 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

FK Tukums 2000 1-3 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 27%, draw 21%, Liepaja 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liepaja) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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