Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v FK Tukums 2000 — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liepaja 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja ran out comfortable winners over FK Tukums 2000 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Liepaja had 62% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 38%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.37 to 0.54.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liepaja and 1.00 for FK Tukums 2000.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000?
Liepaja 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs FK Tukums 2000?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 70%, draw 17%, FK Tukums 2000 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.