Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 4-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
32%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.85/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.84
+53% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2025 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 2-1 HT 1-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR2
14.04.2025 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 0-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR2
08.12.2024 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar MSR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
4-0
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla ran out comfortable winners over Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Baladiyyat Al Mehalla as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 62% of the ball to Ghazl Kafr El Dawar's 38%, shots finished 7-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and 1.00 for Ghazl Kafr El Dawar.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 4-0 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 54%, draw 25%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baladiyyat Al Mehalla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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