Hainan Star 1-4 Jiangxi Liansheng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.78
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
55%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+11.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
55%
Away Win
68%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Jiangxi Liansheng EU Bookmakers 72%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+44% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hainan Star
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jiangxi Liansheng
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31.05.2023 Hainan Star Hainan Star 1-2 HT 1-0 Jiangxi Liansheng ÇİNK
POST-MATCH Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Liansheng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jiangxi Liansheng swept aside Hainan Star 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jiangxi Liansheng as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Liansheng?

Hainan Star 1-4 Jiangxi Liansheng in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hainan Star vs Jiangxi Liansheng?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jiangxi Liansheng win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hainan Star 22%, draw 22%, Jiangxi Liansheng 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jiangxi Liansheng) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jiangxi Liansheng) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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