Gefle 1-0 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 17 May 2024

Gefle
1-0 HT 1-0
GIF Sundsvall
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Gefle vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 29% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.07
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
17%
4.99
X/2
10%
6.68
X/X
12%
4.51
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.65
2/X
9%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gefle v GIF Sundsvall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.74/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.08
+15% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Gefle vs GIF Sundsvall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
2W-2D-2L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-2 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
31.05.2023 Gefle Gefle 1-3 HT 0-3 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
21.10.2016 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
07.04.2016 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-2 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
03.10.2015 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 2-1 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ
20.05.2015 Gefle Gefle 3-1 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ

Gefle 1-0 GIF Sundsvall — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-0
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gefle vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle squeezed past GIF Sundsvall 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gefle as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gefle had 41% of the ball to GIF Sundsvall's 59%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gefle and 1.67 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Gefle vs GIF Sundsvall?

Gefle 1-0 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gefle 46%, draw 28%, GIF Sundsvall 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gefle), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gefle) ✓ Under 2.5
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