Utsiktens BK 1-1 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.57
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
7%
6.7
X/2
11%
5.05
X/X
14%
4.63
2/1
5%
32.0
2/2
25%
3.05
2/X
7%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utsiktens BK EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 46%
+17% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +6%
2.10/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.35
+50% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utsiktens BK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Östers
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2023 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 2-1 HT 2-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
04.06.2023 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-0 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
04.08.2022 Östers Östers 3-1 HT 2-1 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK İSÇ2
10.07.2022 Utsiktens BK Utsiktens BK 1-1 HT 1-1 Östers Östers İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Utsiktens BK vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utsiktens BK and Östers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Utsiktens BK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Utsiktens BK and 1.25 for Östers.

What was the final score of Utsiktens BK vs Östers?

Utsiktens BK 1-1 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utsiktens BK vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Utsiktens BK 30%, draw 30%, Östers 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Östers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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