Palermo 2-0 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 17 May 2024

Palermo
2-0 HT 1-0
Sampdoria
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Palermo vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.52
6+ Goals
11%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
10%
4.92
X/2
16%
6.01
X/X
13%
3.91
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
14%
4.58
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.40/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.37
+34% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.8 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3

Palermo vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 2-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
04.11.2023 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.02.2017 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
02.10.2016 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTA
01.05.2016 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTA
20.12.2015 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTA

Palermo 2-0 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-0
AWAY Sampdoria
2.04 xG 1.24
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
256 Passes 382
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo beat Sampdoria 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Palermo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Palermo had 41% of the ball to Sampdoria's 59%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.04 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palermo and 1.17 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Sampdoria?

Palermo 2-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Palermo 38%, draw 27%, Sampdoria 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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