Kolding IF 2-1 Hobro IK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
9.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.31 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.52
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2
7%
7.43
X/X
8%
5.78
2/1
12%
21.45
2/2
14%
5.1
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolding IF EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Hobro IK EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
2.23/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.17
+30% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
18.2 Crosses 19.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolding IF
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Hobro IK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.05 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
271 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 0-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
02.03.2024 Kolding IF Kolding IF 3-1 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
01.10.2023 Hobro IK Hobro IK 2-3 HT 1-1 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
14.05.2021 Kolding IF Kolding IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
18.12.2020 Hobro IK Hobro IK 1-1 HT 1-0 Kolding IF Kolding IF DAN1
20.10.2020 Kolding IF Kolding IF 2-1 HT 1-0 Hobro IK Hobro IK DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolding IF
2-1
AWAY Hobro IK
0.95 xG 0.45
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
194 Passes 274
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolding IF vs Hobro IK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolding IF edged past Hobro IK 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kolding IF as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Kolding IF had 44% of the ball to Hobro IK's 56%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolding IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kolding IF and 1.00 for Hobro IK.

What was the final score of Kolding IF vs Hobro IK?

Kolding IF 2-1 Hobro IK in the Denmark 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolding IF vs Hobro IK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolding IF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kolding IF 48%, draw 24%, Hobro IK 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolding IF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolding IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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