Resovia Rzeszow 1-3 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.9
Over 2.5
39%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.73
No
60%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 33% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
49%
+12.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
51%
-12.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
54%
-13.8pp
60%
BTTS No
46%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Resovia Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.04/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.53
-12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Resovia Rzeszow
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.01.2024 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow 0-0 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin HAZ
27.01.2024 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 0-0 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow HAZ
25.11.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 3-2 HT 2-1 Resovia Rzeszow Resovia Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Resovia Rzeszow
1-3
AWAY Motor Lublin
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Resovia Rzeszow vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin beat Resovia Rzeszow 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motor Lublin as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Resovia Rzeszow had 54% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 46%, shots finished 10-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Motor Lublin led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Resovia Rzeszow and 1.00 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Resovia Rzeszow vs Motor Lublin?

Resovia Rzeszow 1-3 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Resovia Rzeszow vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Resovia Rzeszow 31%, draw 29%, Motor Lublin 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motor Lublin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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