Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-11.3pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 52%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.16/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.95
+5% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-1
AWAY Wisla Plock
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow squeezed past Wisla Plock 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Plock at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 42% of the ball to Wisla Plock's 58%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Plock?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Wisla Plock in the Poland - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 34%, draw 25%, Wisla Plock 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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