SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒17:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 30% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-11.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
0.69/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-47% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SKRA Czestochowa
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1 HT 1-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
05.11.2023 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-2 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
27.10.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 1-2 HT 0-1 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
13.06.2020 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-2 HT 0-2 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
07.09.2019 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
POST-MATCH SKRA Czestochowa vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola beat SKRA Czestochowa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Stal Stalowa Wola made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for SKRA Czestochowa and 1.40 for Stal Stalowa Wola.

What was the final score of SKRA Czestochowa vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

SKRA Czestochowa 0-2 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SKRA Czestochowa vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SKRA Czestochowa 37%, draw 25%, Stal Stalowa Wola 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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