Stal Mielec 0-0 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.44
2-3 Goals
34%
2.0
4-5 Goals
32%
2.67
6+ Goals
8%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
14%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.17/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.98
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +78%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
251 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 77%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
18.9 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.48 xG 3.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
238 Passes 408
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 43
15 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-3 HT 2-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
22.04.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-2 HT 2-0 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
07.10.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 4-2 HT 2-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
18.02.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 0-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
21.08.2021 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-1 HT 0-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
25.04.2021 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
0-0
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.43 xG 1.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
252 Passes 446
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec and Pogon Szczecin fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 40% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 60%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.43 to 1.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stal Mielec and 2.17 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin?

Stal Mielec 0-0 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 31%, draw 26%, Pogon Szczecin 43%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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