Benfica II 5-2 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.52/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.07
+11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.8 Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Porto II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
256 Passes 286
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Porto II Porto II 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
22.01.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
13.05.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-3 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
10.01.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
22.05.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
25.01.2021 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica II
5-2
AWAY Porto II
2.26 xG 1.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
234 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica II vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II cruised past Porto II 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Benfica II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Benfica II had 40% of the ball to Porto II's 60%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.26 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Benfica II and 1.33 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Benfica II vs Porto II?

Benfica II 5-2 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica II vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Benfica II 39%, draw 26%, Porto II 35%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benfica II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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