Porto II 0-3 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.74/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.52
+14% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.6 Crosses 17.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Benfica II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
266 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2023 Benfica II Benfica II 2-2 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
13.05.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-3 HT 2-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
10.01.2022 Benfica II Benfica II 1-2 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
22.05.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 2-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
25.01.2021 Porto II Porto II 1-1 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
18.01.2020 Porto II Porto II 2-1 HT 1-1 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
0-3
AWAY Benfica II
0.81 xG 1.52
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
388 Passes 209
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II swept aside Porto II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Porto II had 62% of the ball to Benfica II's 38%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.81 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Porto II and 1.67 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Benfica II?

Porto II 0-3 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Porto II 41%, draw 26%, Benfica II 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Porto II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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