Uniao De Leiria 0-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
5.43
6+ Goals
8%
36.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.78/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.98
+46% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +138%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 13.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao De Leiria
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.10.2021 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 0-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
06.04.2003 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-3 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
10.11.2002 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 3-1 HT 2-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
20.01.2002 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria POR
19.08.2001 Uniao De Leiria Uniao De Leiria 2-2 HT 2-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao De Leiria
0-1
AWAY Santa Clara
0.35 xG 1.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 13
290 Passes 469
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Uniao De Leiria vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara nicked a narrow win over Uniao De Leiria 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Santa Clara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Uniao De Leiria had 40% of the ball to Santa Clara's 60%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 0.35 to 1.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Uniao De Leiria had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Uniao De Leiria and 1.40 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Uniao De Leiria vs Santa Clara?

Uniao De Leiria 0-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao De Leiria vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uniao De Leiria 39%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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