Maritimo 1-1 Academico Viseu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maritimo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Academico Viseu EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.3
Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maritimo
1-1
AWAY Academico Viseu
1.19 xG 0.98
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
353 Passes 189
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maritimo vs Academico Viseu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maritimo and Academico Viseu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Maritimo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Maritimo had 63% of the ball to Academico Viseu's 37%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.19 to 0.98.

What was the final score of Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?

Maritimo 1-1 Academico Viseu in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Academico Viseu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 42%, draw 26%, Academico Viseu 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maritimo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maritimo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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