Vilaverdense 2-1 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 49%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.67/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.77
-29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +83%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vilaverdense
2-1
AWAY CD Feirense
1.67 xG 1.31
37% Ball Possession 63%
22 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
218 Passes 423
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vilaverdense vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilaverdense nicked a narrow win over CD Feirense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 38%) promised a tight game; Vilaverdense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vilaverdense had 37% of the ball to CD Feirense's 63%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.67 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Vilaverdense vs CD Feirense?

Vilaverdense 2-1 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilaverdense vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Feirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vilaverdense 31%, draw 31%, CD Feirense 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Feirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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