Tondela vs AVS Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v AVS — Team-Based Signals
Tondela 3-2 AVS — Actual Match Statistics
Tondela squeezed past AVS 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tondela as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tondela had 44% of the ball to AVS's 56%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.44 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tondela's control.
What was the final score of Tondela vs AVS?
Tondela 3-2 AVS in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs AVS?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tondela 43%, draw 28%, AVS 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tondela) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.