Union La Calera 0-1 Coquimbo Unido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
44%
2.83
Away
30%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-1.3pp
44%
Draw
32%
+12.0pp
30%
Away Win
41%
-10.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union La Calera EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Coquimbo Unido EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.15/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.82
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
18.1 Crosses 17.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union La Calera
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.09 xG 1.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
306 Passes 272
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 0-0 HT 0-0 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
25.05.2024 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 1-1 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
02.12.2023 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 1-2 HT 1-2 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
14.05.2023 Union La Calera Union La Calera 1-2 HT 0-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
01.10.2022 Union La Calera Union La Calera 2-0 HT 2-0 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido ŞİL
25.04.2022 Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido 3-2 HT 0-1 Union La Calera Union La Calera ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union La Calera
0-1
AWAY Coquimbo Unido
0.38 xG 0.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
430 Passes 195
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
5 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coquimbo Unido nicked a narrow win over Union La Calera 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Union La Calera had 64% of the ball to Coquimbo Unido's 36%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.38 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coquimbo Unido led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Union La Calera and 1.33 for Coquimbo Unido.

What was the final score of Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?

Union La Calera 0-1 Coquimbo Unido in the Chile - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union La Calera vs Coquimbo Unido?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Union La Calera 26%, draw 44%, Coquimbo Unido 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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