Floreat Athena 0-1 Sorrento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.49
No
44%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS No
37%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floreat Athena EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.60/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.83
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +74%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floreat Athena
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sorrento
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2023 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 2-1 HT 1-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
13.05.2023 Sorrento Sorrento 3-1 HT 2-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
13.08.2022 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 3-1 HT 0-1 Sorrento Sorrento AVNPL
21.05.2022 Sorrento Sorrento 1-3 HT 1-1 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVNPL
28.08.2021 Sorrento Sorrento 1-0 HT 0-0 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena AVUSB
08.05.2021 Floreat Athena Floreat Athena 2-2 HT 1-2 Sorrento Sorrento AVUSB
POST-MATCH Floreat Athena vs Sorrento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento squeezed past Floreat Athena 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sorrento as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floreat Athena had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Floreat Athena and 1.50 for Sorrento.

What was the final score of Floreat Athena vs Sorrento?

Floreat Athena 0-1 Sorrento in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floreat Athena vs Sorrento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sorrento win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Floreat Athena 34%, draw 23%, Sorrento 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sorrento) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sorrento) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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