AAli FC 1-0 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+12.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
39%
Away Win
49%
-10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AAli FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 53%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.13
+61% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AAli FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY East Riffa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.01.2025 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 AAli FC AAli FC BAH
30.05.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 AAli FC AAli FC BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AAli FC
1-0
AWAY East Riffa
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 1
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AAli FC vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AAli FC squeezed past East Riffa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; AAli FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, AAli FC had 61% of the ball to East Riffa's 39%, shots finished 7-1.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AAli FC and 1.00 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of AAli FC vs East Riffa?

AAli FC 1-0 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AAli FC vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an East Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AAli FC 38%, draw 23%, East Riffa 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (East Riffa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (East Riffa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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