Al Riffa 1-3 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.9pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 22%
-15% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.61/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.35
-19% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
08.04.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 4-2 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
21.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
19.02.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
11.09.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
20.08.2020 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
1-3
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama got the better of Al Riffa 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riffa had 61% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 39%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Riffa and 1.67 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Manama?

Al Riffa 1-3 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 44%, draw 28%, Al Shabab Manama 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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