Al Shabab Manama 4-2 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 8 Apr 2024

Al Shabab Manama
4-2 HT 0-0
Al Riffa
📅08/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2023/2024

Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.34
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.55
6+ Goals
6%
14.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 28% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-6.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.6pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shabab Manama v Al Riffa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 66%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.27/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.00
+44% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -25%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.12.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
19.02.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
11.09.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
20.08.2020 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH

Al Shabab Manama 4-2 Al Riffa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
4-2
AWAY Al Riffa
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama beat Al Riffa 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Riffa at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 42% of the ball to Al Riffa's 58%, shots finished 12-25.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Riffa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 2.25 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa?

Al Shabab Manama 4-2 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 08/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 22%, draw 22%, Al Riffa 56%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Riffa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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